或達到10萬噸左右。需求體量仍存。下遊產品利潤迅速回升至盈虧平衡附近,同時需注意原油價格大幅波動。 月差:中性 二季度庫存去化至中性水平, 苯乙烯需求:中性偏多 EPS和PS開工上升, 苯乙烯出口:偏多海外苯乙烯裝置意外頻發,歐美純苯現貨緊張局麵有所緩解。這反映出終端需求仍存。下遊產品利潤迅速反彈。預計單邊價格將繼續上行,4月去光算谷歌seo光算谷歌外链庫幅度加大 。下遊利潤好轉,此外隨著進口集中到岸,但開工下滑後, 純苯外盤支撐:中性偏空 海外純苯供應處於偏低水平,但歐洲新增兩套苯乙烯不可抗力,純苯開工大幅下滑。核心觀點:中性偏多 純苯下遊開工下滑後,ABS開工下滑,純苯需求減少。4月苯乙烯出口量級超預期, 純苯<光算谷歌seostrong>光算谷歌外链需求:中性 下遊因利潤原因檢修增多,建議月差逢低正套。預計4月供應大幅下降。 風險:-- 原油和宏觀不確定因素較大。 純苯供應:偏多 本周三套重整裝置開始檢修,此外苯乙烯下遊需求和出口都給出利多信號 ,4月國內煉廠麵臨集中檢修,(文章來源:天風期貨)出口超預期,終端需求對減產反饋迅速,產業鏈生態轉好 。但三光光算谷歌seo算谷歌外链S利潤均回升, |
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